The chart below comes to us from the IMF. In short, it is depicting the supply chain turmoil around the world and how it is impacting delivery times. A reading above 50 indicates faster delivery times and a reading below 50, slower delivery times.
While on the surface it seems that markets are doing just fine, there has been a lot of damage done when looking under the surface of the major indices. To begin with, the S&P 500 is not the 500 anymore, but more like the S&P 7. This because the first 7 largest companies of the index comprise over 30% of the market cap of the index.
The biggest enigma over the next several quarters and, and perhaps years, will be inflation. In fact, weather we are talking about short term or long-term inflation, it’s the issue market participants will be required to wrestle with most.
Finally, we have headline scares out of China. Earlier this week markets were spooked about the possible default of the world’s most indebted developer, which is none other China’s Evergrande Group.
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